Glossary · Pro tools

Backtest

Testing a trading rule on past prices to see how it would have done.

Why it matters

A backtest turns an idea like “sell when the price drops below its average” into numbers: return, worst fall, number of trades. It shows whether a rule beat simply holding the stock.

How to read it

Past results don’t repeat exactly, and a rule tuned to fit the past usually disappoints later. Judge a rule by whether it lowered the worst fall without giving up too much return, and test it on several stocks.

Also called: strategy test, back test

Related

In the Cluenex app, this explanation opens next to every backtest figure, with the live reading for the stock you are looking at. Open it in Cluenex