Held upTested on the past without hindsight and beat a typical stock. Promising, not proof.
MixedTested: no clear edge yet.
On trialToo new to test on the past; building a live record.
RetiredTested and didn't work, so we stopped showing it.
Tests use filings as they were published and compare with a typical stock bought the same day (from 2024 to 2026 most stocks lagged the S&P 500, so the index alone is an unfair yardstick). Labels follow fixed thresholds set before we looked.
BullishHeld up
Shorts crowded, insiders buying
Short sellers would need five or more days of normal volume to close their positions, and an executive or director bought at least $100,000 on the open market in the last 30 days.
Why it mattersWhen the people with the best information buy what the crowd is betting against, one side is wrong. If it is the shorts, they have to buy back.
Only on CluenexFINRA short interest joined to our SEC Form 4 parsing.
How it has done
The rule, tested on 87 cases from Oct 2025 to Jun 2026, entering at the first close after each filing: 60 trading days later the stock was 3.2% ahead of a typical stock bought the same day.
Cases87
Against a typical stock+3.2%
Beat it59%
Against the S&P 500+5.5%
5 stocks right now. Members see which ones the night they fire.
BullishOn trial
Excellent business on sale
A business that scores Excellent on quality (7.5 or more of 10) trading below our buy price.
Why it mattersGreat businesses rarely go on sale. When one does, the gap between price and value has to close through the business, not hope.
Only on CluenexThe Cluenex quality score and the buy price from our valuation engine, both computed every night.
How it has done
On live record since Oct 10, 2026. It needs data we only have since September 2026, so it can't be tested on the past.
21 stocks right now. Members see which ones the night they fire.
BullishOn trial
Newly below fair value
The verdict changed to Below fair value in the last two weeks.
Why it mattersA fresh change means the price fell or our value rose enough to cross the buy price. Either way it is new information.
Only on CluenexThe Cluenex verdict history, kept in the public ledger.
How it has done
On live record since Oct 10, 2026. It needs data we only have since September 2026, so it can't be tested on the past.
34 stocks right now. Members see which ones the night they fire.
CautionOn trial
Newly above fair value
The verdict changed to Above fair value in the last two weeks.
Why it mattersThe price now sits above even our optimistic case. Not a reason to sell on its own, but a reason to ask what the market expects.
Only on CluenexThe Cluenex verdict history, kept in the public ledger.
How it has done
On live record since Oct 10, 2026. It needs data we only have since September 2026, so it can't be tested on the past.
11 stocks right now. Members see which ones the night they fire.
CautionMixed
Insiders selling at a high price
Three or more executives or directors sold at least $1 million on the open market in 30 days, outside pre-planned sales, while the price is above our fair value.
Why it mattersUnplanned selling by several insiders at once, at a price above what the business is worth, is worth a second look before buying.
Only on CluenexSEC Form 4 parsing that separates pre-planned (10b5-1) sales from discretionary ones, joined to the Cluenex verdict.
How it has done
The insider part of the rule, tested on 981 cases from Oct 2024 to Jul 2026, entering at the first close after each filing: 60 trading days later the stock was 0.3% behind a typical stock bought the same day.
Cases981
Against a typical stock−0.3%
Lagged it56%
Against the S&P 500−1.8%
3 stocks right now. Members see which ones the night they fire.
Cluenex