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Capital One COF

Capital One scores average on business quality (5.5 of 10). Here is why, in plain words, and what our sealed record shows.

Last price$199.26Oct 10, 2026
Business qualityAverage
Next earningsOct 20, 2026, after the close
Insiders, 90 daysSelling

Why it matters

  1. What Capital One does

    Capital One Financial Corp provides credit cards, banking, and loans to consumers and businesses, making money primarily through net interest income and interchange fees. The company is scaling its operations aggressively through massive revenue expansion visible in recent metrics.

  2. What it does best

    Capital One excels at digital-first consumer lending and marketing integration, achieving a revenue growth rate of 36.6% that places it in the top decile of its sector. Its heavy tech spend builds proprietary cloud infrastructure that smaller lenders cannot easily match without massive upfront capital.

  3. The main risk

    The primary threat is credit quality degradation across its massive unsecured consumer loan book. If macro pressures rise, charge-offs spike directly against net income margins since total debt stands at $49.4B.

Quality, check by check

Scored against its own industry, from company filings.

ProfitabilityWeak

Net margin stands at 16.4% with an ROE of 9.3%, reflecting mixed efficiency as scale does not yet cleanly translate into top-tier returns compared to peers like AXP.

MoatWeak

Its moat relies on consumer brand scale and digital banking lock-in, landing in the bottom quartile for moat score as digital banking features face heavy competition.

GrowthFast

Revenue growth surges at 36.6%, placing it in the top decile of its sector and accelerating significantly compared to historical annual figures.

Financial healthFair

Debt-to-equity sits at 0.4x with total debt at $49.4B, while free cash flow reaches $29.7B, showing massive cash generation that is currently getting stronger.

Insiders

Executives and directors, from SEC Form 4 filings we read ourselves. Open market trades only; grants, option exercises and pre-planned sales left out.

2 sold $1.9M outside pre-planned sales.

Our sealed record on COF

Verdicts appear here 30 days after we publish them; members see today's. Each one is in the nightly ledger, fingerprinted the night it was made.

The first sealed verdicts appear here on Oct 11, 2026.

Questions

Is COF a good business?

Capital One scores average on the Cluenex quality check (5.5 of 10), measured against its own industry. Profitability is weak, moat weak, growth fast and financial health fair.

Are insiders buying COF?

In the last 90 days of SEC Form 4 filings: 2 sold $1.9M outside pre-planned sales.

When does COF report earnings?

Oct 20, 2026, after the close.

For members

See COF today

  • Today's verdict on COF, and why
  • Fair value with cautious, base and optimistic cases
  • The exact price that would change the verdict
  • Which stocks each signal names, the night it fires
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Cite this page: Cluenex, “Capital One (COF)”, https://cluenex.com/stocks/cof/, data as of Oct 10, 2026.