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Vistra Corp. VST

Vistra Corp. scores average on business quality (4.8 of 10). Here is why, in plain words, and what our sealed record shows.

Last price$161.48Oct 10, 2026
Business qualityAverage
Next earningsNov 6, 2026
Insiders, 90 daysBuying

Why it matters

  1. What Vistra Corp. does

    Vistra Corp generates and sells electricity, operating a massive power generation and retail portfolio that serves residential and commercial customers. Power plants convert fuel and nuclear assets into grid-supplied energy.

  2. What it does best

    Vistra dominates through unmatched gross margins of 97.4%, crushing peers like TLN at 59% and AES at 20%. This structural edge stems from integrated retail-generation scale that protects pricing power during power market volatility.

  3. The main risk

    A massive debt load of $20.9 billion creates severe vulnerability, with interest coverage sitting thin at 3.7x. If power prices drop or expansion projects hit delays, servicing this heavy obligations risks pinching cash flows rapidly.

Quality, check by check

Scored against its own industry, from company filings.

ProfitabilityFair

Operating margin hits 19.6% alongside a 41.5% ROE. Profitability shows clear strength, though heavy debt costs temper the bottom-line conversion.

MoatFair

Regulatory and asset scale form the moat, locking in industrial and retail users through massive baseload generation. Gross margin sits in the 96th sector percentile.

GrowthSlow

Revenue growth registers at a slow 3.0%, landing in the bottom quartile of its sector at the 19th percentile, with historical growth showing inconsistent annual steps.

Financial healthFair

Total debt sits heavy at $20.9 billion against just $785 million in cash, leaving interest coverage at a tight 3.7x. Free cash flow stands at $1.3B, but capital needs remain immense.

Insiders

Executives and directors, from SEC Form 4 filings we read ourselves. Open market trades only; grants, option exercises and pre-planned sales left out.

1 insider bought $1.2M on the open market.

Our sealed record on VST

Verdicts appear here 30 days after we publish them; members see today's. Each one is in the nightly ledger, fingerprinted the night it was made.

The first sealed verdicts appear here on Oct 11, 2026.

Questions

Is VST a good business?

Vistra Corp. scores average on the Cluenex quality check (4.8 of 10), measured against its own industry. Profitability is fair, moat fair, growth slow and financial health fair.

Are insiders buying VST?

In the last 90 days of SEC Form 4 filings: 1 insider bought $1.2M on the open market.

When does VST report earnings?

Nov 6, 2026.

For members

See VST today

  • Today's verdict on VST, and why
  • Fair value with cautious, base and optimistic cases
  • The exact price that would change the verdict
  • Which stocks each signal names, the night it fires
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Cite this page: Cluenex, “Vistra Corp. (VST)”, https://cluenex.com/stocks/vst/, data as of Oct 10, 2026.