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Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM

Exxon Mobil Corporation scores weak on business quality (4.2 of 10). Here is why, in plain words, and what our sealed record shows.

Last price$168.94Oct 9, 2026
Business qualityWeak
Next earningsOct 23, 2026
Insiders, 90 daysQuiet

Why it matters

  1. What Exxon Mobil Corporation does

    ExxonMobil explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas, and manufactures petroleum products and petrochemicals, generating revenue by selling these essential commodities globally. The company is advancing major upstream and low-carbon projects to secure future energy supply.

  2. What it does best

    ExxonMobil excels at massive capital allocation, deploying $43.7B in total debt efficiently while returning over $37B combined through $20.3B in buybacks and $17.2B in dividends, maintaining a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.2.

  3. The main risk

    Falling commodity pricing compresses cash generation, as seen in free cash flow dropping from $58.4B in 2022 to $18.8B latest, exposing heavy downside if global energy demand shifts.

Quality, check by check

Scored against its own industry, from company filings.

ProfitabilityWeak

Operating margin stands at 9.9% with a net margin of 7.8%, compressing significantly from prior cycles and indicating that scale does not reliably protect margins during commodity downswings.

MoatWeak

Scale and massive asset infrastructure form a hard-to-replicate physical moat, though operating in the bottom quartile of its sector for revenue growth at the 22nd percentile limits broader economic durability.

GrowthSlow

Revenue is contracting at -4.5%, continuing a multi-year decline from the 2022 peak of $398.7B down to $326.0B latest, showing fading top-line momentum.

Financial healthStrong

Total debt sits at $43.7B against $10.7B in cash, with interest coverage at 46.6x making debt servicing manageable. Free cash flow registers at $18.8B, getting softer compared to prior years.

Insiders

Executives and directors, from SEC Form 4 filings we read ourselves. Open market trades only; grants, option exercises and pre-planned sales left out.

No open market buys or unplanned sales by executives or directors.

Our sealed record on XOM

Verdicts appear here 30 days after we publish them; members see today's. Each one is in the nightly ledger, fingerprinted the night it was made.

The first sealed verdicts appear here on Oct 11, 2026.

Questions

Is XOM a good business?

Exxon Mobil Corporation scores weak on the Cluenex quality check (4.2 of 10), measured against its own industry. Profitability is weak, moat weak, growth slow and financial health strong.

Are insiders buying XOM?

In the last 90 days of SEC Form 4 filings: No open market buys or unplanned sales by executives or directors.

When does XOM report earnings?

Oct 23, 2026.

For members

See XOM today

  • Today's verdict on XOM, and why
  • Fair value with cautious, base and optimistic cases
  • The exact price that would change the verdict
  • Which stocks each signal names, the night it fires
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Cite this page: Cluenex, “Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)”, https://cluenex.com/stocks/xom/, data as of Oct 10, 2026.